Ecological Focus Area 2016: Data from Lower Saxony suggest low impact

New data from Lower Saxony on the registration of ecological focus area (EFA) of the season 2016 are published now and the data show almost no changes: The EFA is still an expensive measure for taxpayers with low impact on the biodiversity. The first results of the implementation of the Ecological Focus Area (EFA) of 2015 were disappointing from an ecological point of view. But as always with new policy measures, there are a lot of child’s diseases to observe: There were a lot of administrative problems and obstacles and information deficits. In 2015, there were more precise information information by the ministries and the extension services could work and give recommendation to farmers. So the question is, whether farmers would implement more effective measures and whether the performance of EFA has been improved in the second year.

Line of trees as landscape feature

Line of trees as landscape feature

Why is Lower Saxony a good case for studying EFA-implementation?

First of course, because Mrs. Silke Dahl has again done a great job in analysing the data and providing a complete and very detailed overview on all counties in Lower Saxony to the public. Her analysis is published in the monthly bulletin of the Statistical Office Lower Saxony of October 2016. This is especially outstanding, since even the EU Commission has not yet published a complete overview on implementation data in all EU-member states of 2015. So dear colleagues from DG Agri, this data issue is really difficult, but have a look on Mrs. Dahls publication, it’s a good example! And we are still waiting for the data for all other federal state and we wait for good data on the EU-level.

Second: Taken agricultural land, Lower Saxony is the no.2 production state in agriculture in Germany (after Bavaria) with 2.6 Mio. ha of agricultural land. If we take the gross value added of the federal states, then Lower Saxony has the largest value of 3,352 bill. EUR in 2014 (see figure, data from the Statistical Office of the Bundesländer 2016) and contributes 21% of the total German gross value added in Agriculture. In the animal production, Lower Saxony has an even a higher share of 27.3% of the total gross value added and if we take the average profits (reported in the Agricultural Policy Report of the German Federal Government of 2015: p.103), Lower Saxony has the third highest profits on average.

Gross Value Added in Agriculture in the federal states of Germany 2014, Source: Stat. Office of the Federal States 2016, in bill. EUR, at producer prices

Fig.1: Gross Value Added in Agriculture in the federal states of Germany   2014 Source: Stat. Office of the Federal States 2016, in bill. EUR, at producer prices

Lower Saxony has large arable areas with a high production potential around Hildesheim and Braunschweig, but also very competitive meat production in Western Lower Saxony and some regions with highly specialized milk production in Norther coastal regions. And at the same time we can observe environmental problems in Lower Saxony (as e.g. some Nitrate pollution especially in Western Lower Saxony) and also some regions with reduced biotopes and landscapes elements. Also from a biodiversity perspective, Lower Saxony is one of the states, where actions to preserve biodiversity are highly necessary. And especially in that sense, the implementation data of 2016 are still disappointing.

Net Area of EFA in Lower Saxony

In the following, we will refer to the net EFA-area before applying weighting factors (WF). The data show that the EFA-area has been slightly reduced by 3.8% (= 12.100 ha). Since there has been a substantial ‚overbooking‘ of EFA in 2015, this adjustment is logic. Still, in Lower Saxony the share of EFA-area is at 15.9 %, which is significantly above the average share of Germany in 2015, which was 11.5. North Rhine-Westphalia and Lower Saxony were the two federal states with the highest shares of EFA (both above 15%, i.e. ‚overbooking‘), which also means, they had the highest share of the EFA-options with low weighting factors like nitrogen fixing crops (0.7) and catch-crops (0.3). So farmers need to register more area of these options to comply with the EFA-requirements.

Ecological Focus Area in Lower Saxony 2016 (Source: Data from the Statistical Office Lower Saxony, Share of area before applying weighting factors)

Fig. 2: Focus Area in Lower Saxony 2016
(Source: Data from the Statistical Office Lower Saxony,
Share of area before applying weighting factors)

With respect to EFA-options chosen by farmers, we can observe almost the same picture as last year (see Figure 2):

  • Catch-crops and green cover are the most important measures with together a share of 86%. The area has of catch crops has been reduced a bit (14.000 ha), half of that in just three counties, which indicates that some of the overbooking was a regional phenomenon. We can see this from the regional data (Fig. 4), where the highest share for catch crops with 92.5% was achieved in the administrative region of Weser-Ems, where the specialized meat-producer are located. Especially farms with meat-production seem the prefer this options, since land for folder-production is scares and land-rents in Western Lower Saxony are high (despite a lower soil quality).
  • The second important measure is fallow land with 8.7%. This options has been increasing a bit (+26.400 ha). This can be regarded as a small step in the right direction. Interestingly the increments could be observed in arable regions of Hildesheim, Hannover, Uelzen and Gifhorn, where the shares of fallow land has been already high in 2015. It seems that this options is not chosen by farms with animal husbandry, since here land is especially scarce and farmers tend to use this land rather for productive options. Note however, that this interpretation is specific to Lower Saxony and cannot be generalized to other regions.
  • Nitrogen fixing crops have a comparably low share of 2.9%, in other federal states this measure is taken more often.
  • Landscape features (1.7%) and buffer strips (0.6%) are almost negligible. Here no changes could be observed, despite the fact that buffer strips are supported by the state agri-environmental program. But as mentioned in my post from June, this additional support seems to almost not affect farmers choices.
  • FiOther elements (forestry area and short rotation coppice) contribute with 0.1% to the EFA-uptake, so the recommendation would be to abolish those options since they are almost not chosen but produce administrative burdens.

If we evaluate farmers choices, we need to see, whether the options can contribute to farm biodiversity. Our own assessment (at the moment under review) shows that agricultural ecologists see especially fallow land, buffer strips and landscape elements as effective measures with a positive impact on biodiversity, whereas catch crops, green cover and nitrogen fixing crops are almost ineffective with regards to biodiversity. Taken this as a basis, we can state that 11% of the EFA in lower Saxony might positively influence the preservation of biodiversity. There is a small development in a positive direction, since this share was at 9.8% in 2015. However, needless to say, that this is too little given the financial efforts taken by the greening-policy.

The other elements might have some general positive influence on the environment here and there. However, the EFA is supposed to specifically address biodiversity (as the EU-commission states in their motivation of the EU-regulation, figure 44) and here we must state, that still almost 90% of the EFA in Lower Saxony will have no biodiversity-effect.

Conclusion

After the second year, the results are still disappointing and we cannot take the administrative problems and missing information as excuse. In Lower Saxony, a production region with high competitive advantages, farmers adjust their EFA according economic grounds resulting in a low effectiveness and just 11% of the area will help biodiversity. EFA is just implemented on 15% of the arable land, but for the remaining 85% no changes are taking place. The protection of environmentally sensitive grassland has been there before and a few farms (with biogas-production) might have to adjust their crop-rotation due to the crop diversification-requirement.

Lower Saxony is a very productive region and the results cannot be extrapolated to the EU. The example of Lower Saxony is (as mentioned above) interesting, since the necessity for biodiversity actions is high. In other regions EFA might function slightly or even significantly better (as data from Schleswig-Holstein of 2015 suggest). It will be interesting to get more data from other states and see, whether adjustments are higher and it would be interesting to compare with other high productive regions within the EU. In this text, we did not analyse the protection of sensitive Grassland and the crop-diversification rules of Greening.

Interestingly, the EU-commission has recently published an Online Survey (See Figure 3) of 3.304 EU citizens (with high participation of German farmers, citizens and NGO-members), which shows that only 51% of farmers expect a substantial or moderate positive impact of EFA on biodiversity. So poor implementation might still be a problem of missing information and extension. And even the citizens in this survey have quite a realistic picture on the potential impacts of Greening.

Long term expectation on the effect of Greening (EU Commission 2016)

Fig.3: Long term expectation on the effect of Greening (EU Commission 2016)

The EU-commission seem to still evaluate the first growing season of Greening 2015. Some general data have been published in a very detailed document of the EU-Commission in June 2016 (EU Commission 2016 Review of greening after one year). However, this document does not contain specific figures on how many hectares of which EFA-option were registered in the member states. This goes back to problems of some member states to report the greening figures to Brussels: Especially France, Italy and Scotland had problems and did not report all necessary data. However, the EU Commission so far does not even given an incomplete overview on EFA with precise figures of the states, where data are available. So the public and interested stakeholder cannot participate in the Greening-debate before 2017.

The publication of the statistical office in Lower Saxony is a positive example how we can precisely publish EFA-data and how we can enforce a debate on Greening. Not publishing precise data on Greening (as the EU Commission did, sorry…) leaves the impression, that the Commission is not interested in a Greening-debate before the official Greening-evaluation is out in March 2017. (However, we still need to admit, that missing data is not only the responsibility of the commission, but also of the member states.)

So the next months will be interesting, since some states will publish their data, so the debate will go on with or without official EU-data. And finally, Birdlife, Nabu Germany, Martin Häusling and Robert Habeck (Green Party) are right in their conclusion, that Greening is an expensive failure and we need an intensive debate, whether or not to continue with direct payments of pillar 1 beyond 2020. There might be still some arguments, to use a general basic environmental scheme as entry level, however, even for this objective Greening in its actual form is not appropriate. NABU Germany and Birdlife will present their vision and reform-model for a new “Fit and fair CAP beyond 2020” on November 16, 2016 in Brussels. We will closely follow this and other reform-proposals for the CAP post 2020 in order to improve the environmental performance and the development of agriculture towards more sustainability.

Sources:

Silke Dahl (2016): Ökologische Vorrangflächen in der Landwirtschaft 2016, Statistische Monatshefte Niedersachsen 9/2016, S. 518-521

EU-Commission (2016): Public consultation ‚Experience with the first year of application of the greening obligations under the direct payment scheme (CAP)‘, Brussels, link: http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/consultations/greening/greening-001-results-online-survey_en.pdf

Statistical Office of the Federal States (2016): Regionale Landwirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung, url: http://www.statistik-portal.de/LGR/DE_PW_y.asp?y=2014#tbl00

Ecological Focus Area (EFA) in the admin. Regions of Lower Saxony in 2016 (Source: Source: Data from the Statistical Office Lower Saxony, Share of area before applying weighting factor)

Fig.4: Ecological Focus Area (EFA) in the admin. Regions of Lower Saxony in 2016 (Source: Source: Data from the Statistical Office Lower Saxony,
Share of area before applying weighting factor)

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